BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 2A Class Rank: 120 Conference: (2-15) Overall: (6-16) Overall Strength =   57.27

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Away    W    44.48  47   39   1A  141 ( 9-12) Mormon Trail          -13.76     21.76                      
  2 12/01/2005 Home    W    75.54  67   52   1A   82 (22- 2) Murray                 17.30     -2.30                      
  3 12/03/2005 Home    L    65.04  48   53   3A   59 (10-12) Osceola Clarke          6.80    -11.80                      
  4 12/06/2005 Away    L *  49.30  53   58   1A  112 ( 7-16) Afton East Union       -8.94      3.94                      
  5 12/09/2005 Home    L *  56.30  44   58   2A   77 (17- 6) Bedford                -1.94    -12.06                      
  6 12/13/2005 Away    L *  68.82  36   66   2A    6 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         10.58 *  -40.58                      
  7 12/16/2005 Away    L *  51.38  54   69   2A  109 ( 8-13) Truro Interstate-35    -6.86     -8.14                      
  8 12/20/2005 Home    L *  69.12  65   67   2A   78 (15- 9) Corning                10.88    -12.88                      
  9 01/06/2006 Home    L *  59.98  73   80   1A   61 (16- 8) Lenox                   1.74     -8.74                      
 10 01/10/2006 Away    L *  61.92  55   68   2A   78 (15- 9) Corning                 3.68    -16.68                      
 11 01/13/2006 Away    W *  61.31  59   48   1A  125 ( 2-20) Leon Central Decatur    3.07      7.93                      
 12 01/17/2006 Home    W *  63.50  69   56   1A  112 ( 7-16) Afton East Union        5.26      7.74                      
 13 01/23/2006 Home    W    54.67  84   78   2A  125 (11-10) Clarinda Academy       -3.57      9.57                      
 14 01/24/2006 Away    L *  59.10  49   64   2A   77 (17- 6) Bedford                 0.86    -15.86                      
 15 01/27/2006 Away    L *  38.11  49   61   1A  119 ( 5-19) Southeast Warren      -20.13      8.13                      
 16 01/30/2006 Home    L *  55.42  62   64   1A  101 (11-12) Corydon Wayne          -2.82      0.82  was 01/20 now 01/30 
 17 01/31/2006 Home    L *  67.02  29   57   2A    6 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley          8.78 *  -36.78                      
 18 02/03/2006 Home    L *  56.37  58   71   2A   80 (13- 8) Pleasantville          -1.87    -11.13                      
 19 02/07/2006 Away    L *  43.79  54   81   1A   61 (16- 8) Lenox                 -14.45    -12.55                      
 20 02/10/2006 Home    L *  47.69  53   70   1A   79 (12-10) Martensdale M-SM      -10.55     -6.45                      
 21 02/17/2006 Away    W    68.29  69   53   1A  120 (11-10) Lamoni                 10.05      5.95                      
 22 02/20/2006 Home    L *  64.12  55   62   2A   78 (15- 9) Corning                 5.88    -12.88                      
      Averages              58.24  56.0 62.5

Best game:   75.54 = 15 point win over Murray
Worst game:  38.11 = 12 point loss to Liberty Center Southeast Warren
Team stdev:   9.54